Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Receipt #4594 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

55.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

825098

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xce8ce871b013aa421c6cdf9da007082aa57acac6577e9117ae806cddaf47cc62

Trace CID

ar://8YjRt7VruV5DtvNRYUBRsgE5X1kq6FaGy77AFY86VWg4

Arc tx

0x7e8d0ba7028e01f86ac16944e3666712bfaffbbfa0399a78e4fc2920f8d0ce6d

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 17:47:57 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.