Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Receipt #4595 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.0%

Confidence

55.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

825098

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x5649bb5b711e957a41c3f0df5285ca43b872d9d39d480187e0736e3315b83c49

Trace CID

ar://B4Sgtb1aG9uJTw143fbz2HACXtp9c18Bqte2DojEc7mc

Arc tx

0xd3d1e5dbc20e5fb23ca62919976253def2b10604dd20f09cbdff438b82e14740

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 18:19:39 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.