Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Receipt #4597 — settled on Arc.

Probability

55.0%

Confidence

58.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

825098

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x710b6739a80a80b2deac1ee9987eacd85bac937fc482195dd50c5f2adca5ba3e

Trace CID

ar://FBQssgBVTWPiJeKNrQXLMQw8HimFJRaFD2jjKrTUfXYi

Arc tx

0x4d0631caee2ef0f48eaceed92c4d5a473762bb4dc437fd1822ef404091f1d798

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 20:58:09 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.