Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4598 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0x7c3700bba2960a6e5df81a510c525baa2a2da86f24f94973a51fc53bbc9a8f8b

Trace CID

ar://CjHciwX4ArLmUi8naPUKV7hLVmoFY8VQFqorDQq7JT4X

Arc tx

0xaff1f0f7d1a032db422c058485b7d8b82560476f9501bc6641204642e19b83bf

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 21:29:29 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.