Will Matt Pinnell win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Receipt #4599 — settled on Arc.

Probability

61.0%

Confidence

69.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

825098

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x5091cdb5dcfd014c16116998454a1b7bdcd29cf2a693f0e78475597cd7e99cf8

Trace CID

ar://4Bg6WG7Po3MwY1DLd27ebupbQuKNsHGPnkqyG6YMfcQW

Arc tx

0xda2997f64bfd2becdb1262b0b201cddfdfaa13900b8951e3d1f6d21c9575b6a5

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 22:00:58 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.