Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4601 — settled on Arc.

Probability

56.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0xc37378c8115accfb73260cf88e2338b92ddf97694f5c2380bbaa31df33c28861

Trace CID

ar://5tPhq7y5y72Cy5qxnDUcMyCcS6z8fDSxnLEpHDxxqghw

Arc tx

0x7ff6b486346f7bed0c8574fa721fef0f4f9039cd5788c2a8be8a3d61dd573dd9

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 23:03:07 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.