Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026?

Receipt #4602 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

KXRECNCH-26-JUL03

Source

kalshi

Trace hash

0x8669eb96573a0493640ed45289469eb4fb4b47d0807f47512dfef021c14e0c5c

Trace CID

ar://EdfYb7Z7NF4QaruiFPr5eNgtqM3NT83uYUqqQ8Lrh7Sa

Arc tx

0xb1f3d1a954cb43d5016543b4f48c35129a1267d21c032d1147589b5cb2818dc2

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-03 23:34:10 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.