Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Receipt #4607 — settled on Arc.

Probability

53.0%

Confidence

62.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

1832596

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1a51261a72b5f6f8a813a1ab0ee187880593b4537ea234141ae8fd1be1aa7598

Trace CID

ar://JDcH6ewqrdPJLxM3j6ufpCRrRgUPcBjV257TCHuBx5Qu

Arc tx

0xbf0613dd309040b1b261025e5e3bc398611a100ad9d0dee285b3fa73e61df870

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-04 03:15:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.