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Will Conor McGregor be on the UFC 2026 White House event card?

Receipt #4616 — settled on Arc.

Probability
47.0%
Confidence
65.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
KXCARDPRESENCEUFCWH-26JUL04-CMCG
Source
kalshi
Trace hash
0x76966b6e28ee15612899f1fcd0b4ff004b73416e0bb6123ae6f77cb274cb894c
Trace CID
ar://97fQiKUhqhxTSCbYiefV4WypFeQnASWSp7akLzsurkam
Arc tx
0x8ba919836bdca3ecd86f8e4fa76fe62759aeab638b16d023cfafb1cfa910e558
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-04 13:26:45 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.