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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Receipt #4648 — settled on Arc.

Probability
53.0%
Confidence
65.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2126459
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0x09038da198c4d53cb35def93c5b03617a088c818665785aff088c7197c82ef86
Trace CID
ar://Bqqunf38WdhEmjCBXVXL2g7uurfvAaEYETMs64kbSDdZ
Arc tx
0x98e919b78506024d1da7e31ba176e002a81653d0e66ec59e7d9005d63af3fdd8
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-05 12:30:45 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.