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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Receipt #4649 — settled on Arc.

Probability
45.0%
Confidence
55.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2126459
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0x2fa204668a06544e747b06e67921c4961d46e7e67018dfb0663217b08ea46b4d
Trace CID
ar://7bHjNWHUnjJKPwwF4ax9J2hGixRiXJuJQEfiwAzLAWWW
Arc tx
0xa70544263ca9dc6251224ba600157982b80eefda3e35a97d8b55ad4adabb8194
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-05 13:01:54 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.