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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Receipt #4652 — settled on Arc.

Probability
54.0%
Confidence
65.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2126459
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0x37030c69be6e2c920f91dd53b24e69ea793cddf534e3e96cb62f830b6f9d8bdb
Trace CID
ar://G9noZWLHvVUB18EpAaKAU4ZSjtRWMp4V4djZ7jxAegoR
Arc tx
0xa7d98c60b89d1c3fa3d4d9ea7c395b4cdc29f9c13e46c0be40ffac89971aefab
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-05 14:36:18 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.