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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Receipt #4653 — settled on Arc.

Probability
51.0%
Confidence
58.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2126459
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0x5b90141594a6d959a91080aff54612eb77b2832d0b8fc796a80de0f10fe49c98
Trace CID
ar://9xHuvqcpLsNkfUfg88W5m4nPfdz5XuWvG8ufWbWrW25f
Arc tx
0x11d3adba31d309d783404d4d8b7f088429fad01b89fa3b7d18b60aaf73a19fa8
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-05 16:11:41 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.