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Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Receipt #4654 — settled on Arc.

Probability
45.0%
Confidence
62.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2126459
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0xeea0490710a1c9e31c215ffd322ca0a06c3f43bfa40770a0d61f721c4237a941
Trace CID
ar://5i14XBTaAXpw2cM5Tbh1zVwAGWkT8UVe4WQHLJPnMMk2
Arc tx
0x59e9aa972e5420e69ef480c6b44b945228e0d815325aaf29bfcbb5c8b00f876e
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-06-05 16:43:13 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.