Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Receipt #4674 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

58.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

906975

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6e6c2850976286a77d8b6574a7a33154984d1c7fe85e6dc299bb51029d4eaf64

Trace CID

ar://8tALaxAMD6NRLpTs5trjSChRP1MGm4r4cWrtUfJrySfj

Arc tx

0x5d798aa2cd66555bbbcb21b7c67e9c01b70e47572fa1bdc46ec9906f4c91084e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-06 05:43:51 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.