Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Receipt #4675 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.0%

Confidence

52.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

906975

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x8835bb67174141550b176380907a47c3a84a09d5b5594b8d397d409776d016e7

Trace CID

ar://6qgbYpR5d1SzoMBwWaHPYe6mnTdBR15nxvP6Ny6PfPeg

Arc tx

0x816994888054be8c394d9dd15146fdc5f3dcbc1b0a17cb140a2b3d49c5c2e32e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-06 06:14:53 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.