Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Receipt #4676 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

906975

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1beac9757dd4e52fffa25786f70745e2204ed83fedbfc305567a63399f9b1e9f

Trace CID

ar://FCBh6FzqxVpsa9qW46jGGz5rvPgaS8E4DqzcJuzQgsrK

Arc tx

0xe098ee5a3a0b9fbb759bf160c1e1d22309302a0164ca693e5806f9ca9591b537

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-06 06:45:56 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.