Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Receipt #4680 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2391089

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xdf52180e8b547c7d27091e045565af9a20121516a4357b06f5c213c6e84da711

Trace CID

ar://CfYbn8f7KAsEcJjJ49YNzaX5vBwpwqmpaZG6jvcDf5GG

Arc tx

0x94c268ea436d5f058cd694980fd2a27ba342722300941661eb0c10390eab690e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-06-06 08:53:00 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.